Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.417918 0.462885 0.511246 0.567220 0.630340 0.699448 0.781024
2025-05-04 0.346478 0.408695 0.480609 0.570289 0.679705 0.809582 0.976493
2025-05-11 0.305279 0.375331 0.460265 0.571649 0.715080 0.895200 1.141096
2025-05-18 0.277895 0.353291 0.448324 0.578217 0.753170 0.983558 1.314762
2025-05-25 0.249225 0.325622 0.425037 0.565660 0.762327 1.031929 1.437060
2025-06-01 0.233265 0.312542 0.418792 0.573974 0.798828 1.119076 1.621247
2025-06-08 0.215743 0.295442 0.405034 0.569653 0.815767 1.178441 1.769386
2025-06-15 0.203390 0.284285 0.398240 0.574028 0.844816 1.257155 1.954560
2025-06-22 0.188930 0.268837 0.383812 0.565385 0.852614 1.303021 2.090921
2025-06-29 0.177039 0.256180 0.372344 0.559919 0.864247 1.355099 2.242209
2025-07-06 0.161980 0.237708 0.350738 0.536710 0.844993 1.354335 2.301078
2025-07-13 0.155692 0.232110 0.348337 0.543669 0.875475 1.438980 2.520847
2025-07-20 0.149475 0.226339 0.345445 0.549890 0.905778 1.527197 2.760172
2025-07-27 0.143257 0.220160 0.341465 0.553945 0.932651 1.611977 3.003972
2025-08-03 0.137019 0.213506 0.336178 0.555187 0.954341 1.688950 3.241483
2025-08-10 0.132277 0.208963 0.334007 0.561543 0.985643 1.786667 3.533732
2025-08-17 0.124536 0.198962 0.321986 0.549400 0.981243 1.814760 3.681539
2025-08-24 0.120921 0.195682 0.321196 0.557440 1.015790 1.922962 4.018569
2025-08-31 0.115525 0.189031 0.314111 0.553262 1.026027 1.982589 4.253605
2025-09-07 0.111860 0.185157 0.311644 0.557492 1.053180 2.079793 4.589266
2025-09-14 0.106516 0.178040 0.302944 0.549134 1.053948 2.120622 4.794638
2025-09-21 0.101985 0.172129 0.296084 0.543847 1.060564 2.174695 5.040195
2025-09-28 0.095315 0.162049 0.281037 0.521399 1.029156 2.140959 5.057141